TradeBriefs Editorial

From the Editor's Desk

'Better to die with families'- no food or money, Delhi migrants prefer the long walk home

Scores of migrant workers continued to leave Delhi-NCR Friday, the third day of the nationwide lockdown announced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi earlier this week.

Most of the daily wagers, who left Delhi-NCR Friday, were the ones who stayed back in the hope of getting food and accommodation from the administration.

But when they didn't receive any help from the authorities, they started leaving.

A large number of daily wage labourers, expressed the apprehension that if the government has announced relief measures for three months then there's a chance it could extend the lockdown for the same duration. This apprehension led to more rounds of migration.

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TradeBriefs Editorial

From the Editor's Desk

How the Pandemic Crash Compares With Slumps of the Last Century

The economic destruction wrought by the coronavirus has been swift, broad and deep, with manufacturing seizing up across the globe and consumers increasingly stuck at home in government-imposed isolation.

So how will the ongoing slump compare with previous downturns? Here’s a brief rundown of the events over the past century that triggered the most severe economic hardship.

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TradeBriefs Editorial

From the Editor's Desk

On-again, off-again looks to be best social-distancing option

Chan School coronavirus analysis finds strategy would prevent overwhelming hospitals while building immunity

With global coronavirus cases heading toward half a million, Harvard infectious disease experts said recent modeling shows that - absent the development of a vaccine or other intervention - a staggered pattern of social distancing would save more lives than a one-and-done strategy and avoid overwhelming hospitals while allowing immunity to build in the population.

The work, conducted by researchers at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health and led by Yonatan Grad, the Melvin J. and Geraldine L. Glimcher Assistant Professor of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, and Marc Lipsitch, professor of epidemiology, also shows that if strict social distancing such as that imposed in China - which cuts transmission by 60 percent - is relaxed, it results in epidemic peaks in the fall and winter similar in size and with similar impacts on the health care system as those in an uncontrolled epidemic.

"We looked at how it would affect the thing that matters most - overwhelming the critical-care unit," Grad said.

The problem, the researchers said, is that while strict social distancing may appear to be the most effective strategy, little population-level immunity is developed to a virus that is very likely to come around again.

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